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The overall modeling work and data analysis that has been traditionally performed by DFR is transitioning to the Health Department.

The Health Department is in the process of determining what elements of DFR’s modeling will continue. For the near term at least, the Covid-19 Surveillance Report is the key public-facing document for COVID data.

Additionally, the regional heat map is no longer being produced. 

Past COVID Modeling Presentations

Vermont modeling was used to help prepare the State's response to COVID-19 and guide policy decisions. 

Below are modeling presentation slidedecks:

Modeling Materials

The State of Vermont is working with a number of infectious disease experts to most accurately forecast the impact of COVID-19 on our state.

Below is a description of methods, Vermont specific models and interactive online models.

Oliver Wyman

Helen Leis

Columbia University

Professor Jeffrey Shaman



Northeastern University

Professor Alessandro Vespignani

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)

Modeling Partners in the News

Jeffrey Shaman, Columbia University
Alessandro Vespignani, Northeastern University
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation